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LI:EURONEXT PARISKlepierre SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-15 - not real-time

$12.26

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Li Auto Inc. is priced at $12.26 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. The last 30 days have gained 2.0%. With RSI at 41.1 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near $12.06 and resistance around $14.04.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory at a P/E of 10.8. Analyst price targets sit 48.4% above the current price. Revenue is contracting at 11.4% on a -1.7% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 34.3%, a beta of 0.70 and a maximum drawdown of 56.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — sell short-term against hold longer out, with 2/10 conviction on the long call.

Top Market Events

Quarterly total revenues reached RMB23.0 billion US$3.3 billion 1Quarterly deliveries were 95,142 vehicles BEIJING,...Quarterly total revenues reached RMB23.0 billion US$3.3 billion 1BEIJING, China, May 15, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Li Auto Inc.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 16.55
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 16.55
  • Analyst targets imply +48.4% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Negative profit margin of -1.7%
  • Analyst targets imply +48.4% versus the current price
  • Negative return on equity of -2.5%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-11.40%
Profit Margin-1.66%
P/E Ratio10.8
ROE-2.50%
ROA-1.51%
Debt/Equity25.12
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$-13001422848
Free Cash Flow$-15601390592

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI41.1
Support$12.06
Resistance$14.04
MA 20$12.74
MA 50$12.83
MA 200$16.55
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.98

Valuation

Target Price$18.20
Upside/Downside48.43%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.70
Volatility34.31%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.